Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.232481 0.268332 0.309100 0.359148 0.419278 0.489627 0.578792
2025-09-14 0.172895 0.217578 0.274066 0.351781 0.457610 0.599197 0.807301
2025-09-21 0.142328 0.190478 0.256193 0.354653 0.502409 0.722670 1.089512
2025-09-28 0.121131 0.169901 0.240519 0.353730 0.537625 0.837875 1.395731
2025-10-05 0.108470 0.158409 0.234540 0.364143 0.590384 0.992589 1.823399
2025-10-12 0.098076 0.148234 0.228152 0.371546 0.638507 1.151622 2.323594
2025-10-19 0.089508 0.139421 0.222118 0.377676 0.684889 1.320243 2.919876
2025-10-26 0.083239 0.133342 0.219458 0.388906 0.743267 1.531394 3.723943
2025-11-02 0.076806 0.126045 0.213410 0.392260 0.785936 1.721655 4.581745
2025-11-09 0.070901 0.118888 0.206496 0.392413 0.821440 1.906990 5.542127
2025-11-16 0.065391 0.111766 0.198619 0.389023 0.847844 2.078585 6.577682
2025-11-23 0.060229 0.104703 0.189911 0.382250 0.864383 2.229614 7.655411
2025-11-30 0.057212 0.101464 0.188556 0.392145 0.927479 2.548200 9.712570
2025-12-07 0.052872 0.095215 0.180297 0.384688 0.942829 2.726070 11.337091
2025-12-14 0.049942 0.091452 0.176780 0.388032 0.989823 3.034117 13.984874
2025-12-21 0.046963 0.087284 0.171864 0.387033 1.024094 3.315125 16.872490
2025-12-28 0.045207 0.085450 0.171849 0.398645 1.101115 3.804932 21.897260
2026-01-04 0.043352 0.083217 0.170644 0.406904 1.170352 4.306562 28.025114
2026-01-11 0.041553 0.080924 0.169018 0.413744 1.237483 4.844873 35.759222
2026-01-18 0.040226 0.079532 0.169352 0.426281 1.329811 5.573933 47.527101
2026-01-25 0.038497 0.077084 0.166836 0.430027 1.391088 6.191725 60.268913
2026-02-01 0.036716 0.074360 0.163331 0.430199 1.439055 6.777516 75.086582
2026-02-08 0.034879 0.071353 0.158792 0.426412 1.470235 7.293662 91.426195